> For the complete documentation index, see [llms.txt](https://docs.talex.world/llms.txt). Markdown versions of documentation pages are available by appending `.md` to page URLs; this page is available as [Markdown](https://docs.talex.world/talex-content-app/more-details/how-does-the-prediction-market-work.md).

# How Does the Prediction Market Work?

When a user becomes the **n-th tipper** of a piece of content:

* Everyone who tipped before them is called their **“seniors”**.
* Everyone who tips after them is called their **“juniors”**.

Whenever a junior tips:

* 20% of their payment still goes directly to the creator;
* The other 80% is distributed, based on **time window and amount weighting**, to the seniors before them.

So, if a user tips **before** a content piece explodes:

* They appear in the senior lists of many future juniors;
* They receive thank-you rewards from more juniors, meaning they **predicted correctly**.

If they tip after the peak:

* They are a late participant and will receive less future distribution;
* But they still complete a value support to the content (20%).

All returns come **entirely** from subsequent real user tips:

* There is no system guarantee;
* No promised returns;
* No multi-level rebate structure.