How Does the Prediction Market Work?

The “Senior / Junior” Mechanism

When a user becomes the n-th tipper of a piece of content:

• Everyone who tipped before them is called their “seniors”.

• Everyone who tips after them is called their “juniors”.

Whenever a junior tips:

• 20% of their payment still goes directly to the creator;

• The other 80% is distributed, based on time window and amount weighting, to the seniors before them.

So, if a user tips before a content piece explodes:

• They appear in the senior lists of many future juniors;

• They receive thank-you rewards from more juniors, meaning they predicted correctly.

If they tip after the peak:

• They are a late participant and will receive less future distribution;

• But they still complete a value support to the content (20%).

All returns come entirely from subsequent real user tips:

• There is no system guarantee;

• No promised returns;

• No multi-level rebate structure.